Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#150
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#139
Pace73.2#62
Improvement+1.4#110

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#237
Improvement+0.5#151

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#79
Improvement+0.8#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 22   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 58-96 8%     0 - 1 -21.3 -10.5 -5.3
  Nov 12, 2013 147   Drexel L 70-78 60%     0 - 2 -9.3 -5.3 -3.7
  Nov 17, 2013 116   @ Northwestern W 68-64 31%     1 - 2 +10.4 +5.1 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2013 79   Manhattan L 70-79 40%     1 - 3 -5.2 -11.0 +7.5
  Nov 27, 2013 89   Vermont L 76-87 33%     1 - 4 -5.0 +7.2 -12.4
  Nov 30, 2013 81   @ San Francisco W 90-76 23%     2 - 4 +23.2 +8.0 +13.3
  Dec 04, 2013 286   Chicago St. W 75-56 86%     3 - 4 +8.6 +6.0 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2013 60   Dayton W 81-75 33%     4 - 4 +12.0 +3.3 +8.2
  Dec 16, 2013 185   @ Oakland L 75-90 50%     4 - 5 -13.5 -8.4 -3.8
  Dec 19, 2013 290   Tennessee St. W 64-58 88%     5 - 5 -5.2 -19.3 +13.9
  Dec 22, 2013 154   DePaul W 69-64 62%     6 - 5 +3.1 -5.3 +8.4
  Jan 02, 2014 151   @ Missouri St. L 70-78 OT 40%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -3.9 -4.9 +1.4
  Jan 05, 2014 159   Southern Illinois W 66-48 64%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +15.7 -4.9 +21.5
  Jan 08, 2014 7   @ Wichita St. L 47-66 5%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +0.6 -13.2 +12.8
  Jan 11, 2014 231   Loyola Chicago W 59-50 78%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +2.1 -17.5 +19.7
  Jan 15, 2014 204   Evansville W 79-78 OT 74%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -4.2 +4.9 -9.1
  Jan 18, 2014 176   @ Drake W 77-63 48%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +15.9 +3.1 +12.5
  Jan 22, 2014 7   Wichita St. L 55-70 12%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -0.9 -7.4 +5.7
  Jan 25, 2014 115   @ Indiana St. L 62-76 31%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -7.6 -5.1 -2.8
  Jan 29, 2014 199   @ Bradley L 45-64 53%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -18.4 -22.9 +3.3
  Feb 01, 2014 176   Drake W 75-57 69%     11 - 10 5 - 5 +14.3 +5.4 +10.3
  Feb 05, 2014 96   Northern Iowa W 76-65 47%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +13.2 +1.9 +11.4
  Feb 09, 2014 231   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-79 60%     12 - 11 6 - 6 -11.3 +1.6 -13.8
  Feb 12, 2014 204   @ Evansville L 98-104 OT 54%     12 - 12 6 - 7 -5.6 +2.1 -6.2
  Feb 15, 2014 199   Bradley W 70-54 73%     13 - 12 7 - 7 +11.0 +2.7 +9.7
  Feb 18, 2014 151   Missouri St. W 67-63 61%     14 - 12 8 - 7 +2.5 -2.3 +5.1
  Feb 23, 2014 96   @ Northern Iowa L 59-72 27%     14 - 13 8 - 8 -5.2 -8.0 +1.6
  Feb 26, 2014 115   Indiana St. W 77-59 52%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +18.9 +6.6 +12.5
  Mar 01, 2014 159   @ Southern Illinois L 65-66 43%     15 - 14 9 - 9 +2.3 +6.6 -4.5
  Mar 07, 2014 151   Missouri St. L 48-53 50%     15 - 15 -3.7 -20.1 +15.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%